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The U.S. Withdraws Support For Syrian Rebels: The U.S. Is Losing And Russia/Iran Are Winning.

ArmchairPoliticianSyria, August 6, 2017, By Brad Peery, WWW.ArmchairPolitician.US, ArmchairPolitician.US@gmail.com

A covert program to provide military support for moderate Sunni-Arab rebels in Northern Syria was ended before President Trump’s recent meeting with Russia’s Vladimir Putin. Support had been supplied by the U.S. to those rebels since 2013. This withdrawal of support was a surprise, and makes Bashar al-Assad stronger in his quest, with the support of Iran and Russia, to regain control of a fractured Syria. The withdrawing of support for the moderate Syrian rebels by the U.S. could be a recognition that Russian backing for Assad has turned the tide against the rebels, and perhaps President Trump hopes he can reach some accords with Russia, such as cease-fire regions, in Syria.

Russia has signed a 49-year lease on Hmeymim air base. Russia has used the base to assist Assad since 2015. The base is well equipped, having an advanced S-300 air defense system, Russian troops and offensive capabilities that include Sukhoi SU-35 fighters and attack helicopters. Further consolidating its long term presence, Russia has signed a military agreement with Syria that provides for an expansion of Russia’s Tartus naval base on the Syrian coast. The agreement is a 49-year lease that could automatically renew for a further 25 years, according to Tass, the Russian news agency. Tass said the expansion would provide simultaneous berthing for up to 11 warships, including nuclear-powered vessels, more than doubling its present known capacity there. Russia has largely won the war in Syria for Assad, Iran, and Iran backed proxy rebel group Hezbollah, but there could still be parts of Syria that could become separated from the country.

Following Trump’s meeting with Putin in Germany, a limited cease-fire was agreed to for Southeastern Syria, where the U.S. has military bases, supports rebels fighting the Assad regime, and Jordan is the neighboring country. This is an area of Syria where the U.S. may have a continuing presence, after a peace agreement is agreed to in Syria. This could follow the defeat of ISIS in Raqqa.

*The U.S. Department of Defense says no fewer than 2,000 fighters of Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) will die in the Syrian city of Raqqa in the ongoing efforts to liberate the city. At this point it appears that about 40% of Raqqa has been recaptured. Once it is recaptured, ISIS will lose its key presence in Syria, but will likely continue sporadic fighting, from a presence in rural parts of Syria. ISIS fighters from Syria are being encouraged to go to other areas such as The Philippines.

Turkey is fighting ISIS on the northwestern Syrian border with Turkey. Turkey has endorsed the Assad regime, so it may not attempt to claim the territory it controls in Syria, once a peace agreement is reached.

The U.S. is fighting alongside the Kurdish YPG forces on the northeastern Syrian border with Turkey. The Kurds have been a very effective ally of the U.S. in fighting ISIS in Syria. The Kurds control about 20,000 square miles or Syrian territory. In late April, Turkey launched dozens of airstrikes against the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), including the Kurdish YPG, which is backed by the U.S. Over 30 Kurds were killed. The Kurds are reported to have about 25,000 fighters in Syria. The U.S. has announced that it will supply small arms, machine guns, and possibly vehicles to the Kurds. It appears likely that the portion of Syria controlled by the SDF could become independent of Syria.
*Read more at: http://www.vanguardngr.com/2017/08/2000-isis-fighters-die-raqqa-pentagon/

ArmchairPolitician.US Opinion
Russia has solidified a long term relation with Syria that includes a major military air base and naval facilities in Syria, including nuclear armed ships. Iran and Hezbollah have made major advances in Syria by aligning themselves with Russia and Assad. The best the U.S. can hope for is that Hezbollah and Iran do not maintain military presences in Syria. It does not seem probable that the U.S. will prevail on this issue.

U.S. backed militias in the Northeast, including the Kurds, and in Southeastern Syria on the Jordanian border could provide the U.S. with an opportunity to maintain a presence in Syria that could be an offset to Russia, Iran and Hezbollah. However, for this to occur, the U.S. will need to continue to arm and train the militias in those regions, with the support of Jordan in the Southeastern part of Syria.

See:
ArmchairPoliticianSyria, April 9, 2017, By Brad Peery, WWW.ArmchairPolitician.US, ArmchairPolitician.US@gmail.com
With All of the Different Combatants in Syria, What Should the US Do?

32 comments to The U.S. Withdraws Support For Syrian Rebels: The U.S. Is Losing And Russia/Iran Are Winning.

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      I look at this as the first edition of what will be our first of publication. I plan to update the book about every 3-4 months as an update to our blog site http://WWW.ArmchairPolitician.US. I plan to continue posting political blogs on http://WWW.ArmchairPolitician.U.S.

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      Brad Peery & ArmchairPolitician.US

      Book: WWW. Amazon.com, Trump’s Political Agenda and Achievements
      Blog Site: http://WWW.ArmchairPolitician.US
      Email: ArmchairPolitician.US@gmail.com

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      Blog Site: http://WWW.ArmchairPolitician.US
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      Hi,

      Thanks for your comments and interest in the ArmchairPolitician.US blog.

      We at ArmchairPolitician.US have published our first book on Amazon. We have also published it on Kindle. Its title is: Trump’s Political Agenda and Achievements, By ArmchairPolitician.US and Brad Peery.

      I thought you might have an interest in getting an update on our website that is organized by subject, making it easier for you to get an overall picture of each of the subjects, countries, and events that are going on and affect U.S political issues and possible solutions.

      I look at this as the first edition of what will be our first of publication. I plan to update the book about every 3-4 months as an update to our blog site http://WWW.ArmchairPolitician.US. I plan to continue posting political blogs on http://WWW.ArmchairPolitician.U.S.

      If what I am doing is of interest, please buy the book and let me know you have done so. I will then put you on a preferred list that can stay in touch with me personally, and with whom I can communicate directly.

      Thanks for your interest in our blog, and hopefully our book, and staying in touch with us.

      Brad Peery & ArmchairPolitician.US

      Book: WWW. Amazon.com, Trump’s Political Agenda and Achievements
      Blog Site: http://WWW.ArmchairPolitician.US
      Email: ArmchairPolitician.US@gmail.com

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